I'm Tessa Bramwell, and I got into football betting the same way a lot of people do. You watch enough matches and eventually notice you've been forming opinions that might be worth something if you tested them properly. About two years ago I stopped just watching and started writing things down, in particular how often games turned scrappy and why. I don't bet every market, and I'd never tell you I've got an edge across the board. Narrowing my focus has done far more for me than trying to be everywhere at once.
Yellow Cards is the area I've leaned into, mostly because it rewards exactly the kind of digging I find satisfying anyway. Referee profiles are the obvious starting point, since some officials reach for the card far quicker than others, but it goes well beyond that. Derby temperature, what's genuinely riding on a fixture, individual disciplinary records, how each side sets up and whether they foul tactically high up the pitch, all of it feeds into how a card market unfolds. Before I commit I'll check who's been handed the whistle, recent booking trends for both sides, and whether the match actually carries the kind of needle that pushes the count up. It's a market that pays you back for the homework, and I genuinely enjoy tracking those variables.
I'm still figuring things out, and I'd rather show my working than dress it up as something more polished. With the tips I put out on Fixed Bet Tips, the aim is to let readers see how I'm reading a match, what angles I've weighed, and where I think there's value worth backing. If that helps someone make a sharper decision, or even gives them a better reason to disagree with me, then the job's done as far as I'm concerned.
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