Top right
Open games
Score and concede more than average. Their matches are rarely quiet.
Over 2.5BTTS
14 teams, e.g. Eintracht Frankfurt, Stuttgart, HoffenheimFootball predictions · Betting tips
Football predictions start with the teams.
Some teams play open, end-to-end games. Others grind out tight ones. We map every team in Europe's top five leagues by how they score and concede — and build Correct Score, BTTS, Over/Under and 1X2 tips from there.
Across: goals scored per game. Up: goals conceded per game. Dashed lines mark the average team — hover or tap a dot to see the team.
Sunday 25 October
Today's fixtures, called
350 fixtures · 111 competitions
First whistle Colegiales – Atletico DE Rafaela
- Spain La LigaHead to head
- Italy Serie AHead to head
- England Premier LeagueHead to head
- France Ligue 1Head to head
- France Ligue 1Head to head
- Spain La LigaHead to head
Reading the map
Four kinds of team, four kinds of bet.
Where two teams sit on the map tells you what kind of match to expect before you look at a single price.
Bottom right
Dominant
Score plenty and give little away. The sides that decide games.
1X2Win to nil
21 teams, e.g. Bayern, Barcelona, InterBottom left
Tight games
Few goals at either end. Low scores and plenty of draws.
Under 2.50-0 / 1-0 / 1-1
12 teams, e.g. Getafe, Parma, LazioTop left
Leaky
Concede more than they score. Opponents tend to get on the scoresheet.
Opponent winOpp. to score
35 teams, e.g. Union Berlin, Nice, HamburgTeam leaderboards
Which teams hit each market most?
The ten teams in the top five leagues with the highest rate for each market. A strong starting point — always check the opponent too.
Share of matches with three or more goals.
- 01BayernBundesliga · 38 matches92%
- 02BarcelonaLa Liga · 45 matches76%
- 03HoffenheimBundesliga · 38 matches74%
- 04StuttgartBundesliga · 38 matches74%
- 05RennesLigue 1 · 39 matches72%
- 06RB LeipzigBundesliga · 38 matches71%
- 07Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga · 38 matches71%
- 08ChelseaPremier League · 43 matches70%
- 09LensLigue 1 · 39 matches67%
- 10StrasbourgLigue 1 · 39 matches67%
Share of matches where both teams scored.
- 01KölnBundesliga · 38 matches82%
- 02Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga · 38 matches76%
- 03Real SociedadLa Liga · 45 matches76%
- 04ElcheLa Liga · 45 matches73%
- 05Man UnitedPremier League · 43 matches70%
- 06HoffenheimBundesliga · 38 matches68%
- 07BournemouthPremier League · 43 matches67%
- 08NewcastlePremier League · 43 matches67%
- 09VillarrealLa Liga · 45 matches67%
- 10StrasbourgLigue 1 · 39 matches67%
Share of matches without conceding.
- 01ArsenalPremier League · 43 matches51%
- 02RomaSerie A · 43 matches49%
- 03PSGLigue 1 · 39 matches49%
- 04DortmundBundesliga · 38 matches47%
- 05LyonLigue 1 · 39 matches46%
- 06ComoSerie A · 43 matches44%
- 07JuventusSerie A · 43 matches44%
- 08InterSerie A · 43 matches44%
- 09Man CityPremier League · 43 matches42%
- 10LazioSerie A · 43 matches42%
Share of matches with two goals or fewer.
- 01GetafeLa Liga · 45 matches76%
- 02ParmaSerie A · 43 matches70%
- 03AngersLigue 1 · 39 matches69%
- 04LazioSerie A · 43 matches67%
- 05Le HavreLigue 1 · 39 matches67%
- 06JuventusSerie A · 43 matches63%
- 07LilleLigue 1 · 39 matches62%
- 08LecceSerie A · 43 matches60%
- 09AtalantaSerie A · 43 matches60%
- 10EvertonPremier League · 43 matches58%
Free daily tips · Seven markets
How to predict each market.
A one-line method for every market we cover, and a link to today's free picks.
Correct Score
Start from both teams' scoring and conceding rates, then shortlist the two or three most likely scores.
TODAY'S CORRECT SCORE TIPSHT/FT
Check how often each side leads at the break and whether they protect or lose half-time leads.
TODAY'S HT/FT TIPS1X2
Weigh the goal difference per game of both sides, home advantage and team news before picking a side.
TODAY'S 1X2 TIPSOver/Under 2.5
Add the two teams' goals-for and goals-against rates: open sides push overs, tight sides push unders.
TODAY'S OVER/UNDER 2.5 TIPSBTTS
Both teams must score — look for two attacks that score regularly and two defences that rarely keep clean sheets.
TODAY'S BTTS TIPSYellow Cards
Derbies, relegation battles and strict referees raise card counts; one-sided games usually lower them.
TODAY'S YELLOW CARDS TIPSCorners
Teams that dominate the ball and attack wide win more corners, especially when chasing the game.
TODAY'S CORNERS TIPSOur analysts
Meet the people who review every selection before it is published.
MEET OUR AUTHORSVIP Gold Member access
Profiles in, VIP picks out.
VIP selections use the same team profiles, with line-ups and late team news reviewed before kick-off.
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Tactics board · FAQ
Football betting, explained.
Every team figure on this page is counted from real results in the top five European leagues.
How do I use team profiles to predict a match?
Put both teams on the map. Two sides from the "open games" corner — scoring and conceding more than average — point towards Over 2.5 and BTTS. Two sides from the "tight games" corner point towards Under 2.5 and low correct scores. A dominant side against a leaky one points towards a home or away win, often with a clean sheet.
What makes a good Over 2.5 pick?
Two teams whose matches regularly produce three or more goals. Check both sides' Over 2.5 rate over a decent sample, not just the last two games, then look at team news: a missing striker or a first-choice goalkeeper returning can change the picture quickly.
How do I predict BTTS?
Both teams need to score, so start with each side's scoring rate and the opponent's clean-sheet rate. A team that keeps clean sheets often is the biggest red flag for BTTS, even if the other side is in good form.
When is a clean sheet likely?
When a strong defence meets a weak attack. Look for a team conceding well under one goal a game facing an opponent that scores below the league average. Arsenal currently has the best clean-sheet rate of the teams on this page at 51%.
How should I approach correct score and HT/FT?
Use the same profiles, just with more precision. Estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, shortlist the two or three most likely scorelines, and for HT/FT consider whether the favourite tends to start fast or finish strong.
How quickly can a team change corners on the map?
Faster than the numbers show. The profiles here blend the last full season with the current one, so they move gradually. A new manager, a key signing or a long injury can shift a team from open to tight — or dominant to leaky — within weeks, so give recent matches extra weight when something big has changed.