Aston Villa Cards Stats: Who Gets Booked More, Home and Away
Across 684 league games, Aston Villa and their opponents are booked at almost exactly the same rate. Venue and opponent strength are what pull the card handicap one way or the other.
- Market
- Yellow Cards
- On file
- Aston Villa Premier League matches 2005/06–2025/26, 684 games with booking data
- Question
- In Aston Villa league games, which side collects more yellow cards, and how does that change with venue and opponent strength?
- E146.2%Home games where the visitors got more yellows
- E245.6%Away games where Villa got more yellows
- E31.81Opponent yellows per game vs Aston Villa
- E41.80Aston Villa yellows per game
Every time Aston Villa play, I want to know which side is more likely to finish with more yellows. Across 684 Premier League games from 2005/06–2025/26, the overall answer is close to a coin flip. Villa averaged 1.80 yellows per game and their opponents 1.81. For anything tied to a specific fixture, head to today's card tips. This file is the long view you check before you get there.
That even headline hides two strong splits. At home, the visitors were booked more in 46.2% of Villa games. Away, Villa collected more than the home side in 45.6% of games. Opponent strength matters too, and it works in a direction I didn't expect. The charts below show where the handicap moves and where it stays put.
Exhibit AVenue swings the card handicap more than anything else
The stacked bars split every game three ways: Villa booked more, level, or opponent booked more. Across all games the opponent edged it at 39.0% against 36.3% for Villa, with 24.7% level. That sits very close to the average Premier League team, which came out at 37.2% each way with 25.6% level.
Splitting by venue is where it opens up. At Villa Park, Villa took more yellows in only 26.9% of games and the visitors took more in 46.2%. Away from home the picture almost flips. Villa were the more-booked side in 45.6% of games and the hosts in 31.9%.
View the data: who collects more yellows in aston villa games?
| Aston Villa more | Level | Opponent more | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All games (684) | 36.3% | 24.7% | 39.0% |
| Aston Villa at home (342) | 26.9% | 26.9% | 46.2% |
| Aston Villa away (342) | 45.6% | 22.5% | 31.9% |
| PL team average (13,680) | 37.2% | 25.6% | 37.2% |
I see this as the usual home-and-away effect showing up very clearly in one club's record. A bettor pricing a Villa card handicap should start from the venue, not from the club's overall reputation. The level outcome also deserves attention. It ranges from 26.9% at home to 22.5% away, so a handicap line that can push behaves differently depending on where the game is played.
Exhibit BVilla out-book top sides but stay calmer against weaker ones
The dumbbell groups opponents by where they finished that season. Against the top 4, Villa averaged 1.78 yellows to the opponent's 1.44 across 140 games, the clearest gap on the chart. Against teams finishing 5th–10th, both sides rose, to 2.00 for Villa and 1.82 for the opponent over 204 games.
Against teams finishing 11th or lower the split reverses. Villa dropped to 1.68 while opponents climbed to 1.96 across 340 games. My reading is that the side doing more chasing and defending without the ball tends to pick up the cards.
View the data: aston villa vs opponent yellows by opponent finish
| Aston Villa | Opponent | |
|---|---|---|
| vs Top 4 (140 games) | 1.78 | 1.44 |
| vs 5th–10th (204 games) | 2 | 1.82 |
| vs 11th or lower (340 games) | 1.68 | 1.96 |
One honest limit applies here. Final positions weren't known when these games kicked off, so treat the tiers as a rough guide to a team's strength rather than a clean pre-match filter.
Exhibit CVilla get booked slightly quicker per foul
This bar chart asks how many fouls it takes before a yellow arrives. Villa committed 6.43 fouls for every yellow received. Their opponents came in at 6.66 and the average Premier League team at 6.67. A lower number means fewer fouls per booking, so Villa's fouls turn into cards a touch more readily than the norm.
The gap is small, and I wouldn't build a position on it alone. It suggests Villa's fouls have tended to be the sort officials punish, such as tactical stops or late challenges, rather than a high volume of soft ones. The match records carry no referee names, so I can't tell how much of that is the club's own discipline and how much is who was holding the whistle.
View the data: fouls per yellow card
| Fouls committed per yellow received (higher = fewer bookings per foul) | |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 6.43 |
| Aston Villa opponents | 6.66 |
| PL average team | 6.67 |
Exhibit DTeam yellow lines are almost identical for both sides
The table gives the share of games in which each side went over a given team-yellows line, with fair odds calculated as one divided by that frequency. Over 1.5 landed for Villa in 53.9% of games (fair odds 1.85) and for opponents in 55.4% (fair odds 1.80). At Over 2.5 the two sides are exactly level at 27.8%, with fair odds of 3.60.
The tails are thin. Over 3.5 came in for Villa in 10.7% of games (9.37) and for opponents in 9.6% (10.36). At the other end, Villa went unbooked in 16.4% of games and opponents in 14.8%.
| Line | Aston Villa | Fair odds | Opponent | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | 85.2% | 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 | 53.9% | 1.85 | 55.4% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 | 27.8% | 3.60 | 27.8% | 3.60 |
| Over 3.5 | 10.7% | 9.37 | 9.6% | 10.36 |
The main caveat is that I had no card prices for these matches. The fair odds are benchmarks drawn from frequency, not evidence that any market has been mispriced. Use them as a yardstick to compare against whatever price you're offered, and adjust for venue before you do.
Dossier verdict
Case closed- Start from the venue
At home the visitors out-booked Villa in 46.2% of games, and away Villa took more in 45.6%. Set your handicap view by venue before anything else.
- Respect the top-four gap
Against top-4 finishers Villa averaged 1.78 yellows to the opponent's 1.44. That is the clearest case in this file for leaning towards Villa collecting more.
- Benchmark Over 1.5 prices
Villa's Over 1.5 team yellows rate of 53.9% implies fair odds of 1.85. Anything shorter needs a reason specific to the fixture, such as the referee or what the game means to both sides.
Questions bettors ask
How many yellow cards do Aston Villa average per game?
Across 684 Premier League games from 2005/06–2025/26, Aston Villa averaged 1.80 yellows per game. Their opponents averaged 1.81.
Do Aston Villa get more yellow cards at home or away?
Away. Villa collected more yellows than the home side in 45.6% of their away games, compared with 26.9% at home.
How often do Aston Villa get 2 or more yellow cards?
Villa received at least 2 yellows in 53.9% of league games, which gives frequency-based fair odds of 1.85. Their opponents reached that line in 55.4% of games.
I'm Tessa Bramwell, and I focus on yellow card markets, where referee habits, derby needle and what's actually on the line shape the numbers more than the names do.
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